Girona vs Albacete — La Liga 2 result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 25 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 10.3 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Girona
63%
top pick
Draw
21%
result
Albacete
16%
Final score
0–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 21.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Girona win. Expected goals 1.98–0.90 against 0–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (11.3%), 1–0 (11.0%), 2–1 (10.6%). It finished 0–0.
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Girona
| 16 Aug | H | vs Leganes | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Aug | A | vs Cordoba | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Las Palmas | 5–2 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Sp Gijon | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Castellon | 1–2 | L |
Albacete
| 16 Aug | A | vs Las Palmas | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Sociedad B | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Oviedo | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Castellon | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Granada | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Girona (Home · 7 matches) | Albacete (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 57.1% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 42.9% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 42.9% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.14 | 2.83 |
Home stats use Girona's home record; away stats use Albacete's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.