Ceuta head into this one in inconsistent form, picking up just one win in their last five at home, while Santander arrive as league leaders despite a bumpy recent run of two wins and three defeats in their last five away from home. The one previous meeting between these sides ended in a Santander victory, though the small sample makes that difficult to lean on too heavily.

The goalscoring data is where this match gets interesting. Santander's away games have seen both teams score in 76% of fixtures, well above the league average of 54%, and their clean sheet rate on the road is a notably low 12%. Ceuta have also been involved in open games at home, with BTTS and over 2.5 both landing in 59% of their home matches. The data suggests this has the ingredients for a lively, open contest.

Despite leading the division, Santander look vulnerable defensively on their travels, and Ceuta will fancy their chances of getting on the scoresheet. This looks tighter than the league standings might suggest.