Celta B vs Cordoba — La Liga 2 forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Celta B
29%
Draw
25%
Cordoba
46%
Expected goals
1.23–1.49
Celta B · Cordoba
Cordoba win 46% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.1%), 1–2 (11.1%), 0–1 (10.7%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Those three cover 34% of outcomes; the other 66% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Cordoba win is 1–2 (11.1%).
Celta B score at least twice in 34%; Cordoba in 45%.
Scoreline distribution
Cordoba goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 10.7 | 7.6 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.1 | 12.1 | 11.1 | 4.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Celta B goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 41% | 28% | 32% |
| Market reference | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| Metis Forecast | 29% | 25% | 46% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Celta B
| 15 Aug | A | vs Cadiz | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Aug | H | vs Andorra | 4–2 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Castellon | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Ceuta | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Sept | H | vs Eibar | 0–4 | L |
Cordoba
| 16 Aug | A | vs Burgos | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | vs Girona | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Granada | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Sabadell | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Almeria | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Celta B (Home · 6 matches) | Cordoba (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 83.3% | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 83.3% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 3.67 | 3.50 |
Home stats use Celta B's home record; away stats use Cordoba's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.