Castellon head into this late-season clash in decent shape, sitting sixth and showing enough at home to fancy their chances against an Eibar side that has been frustratingly inconsistent on the road. The visitors have alternated wins and losses in their last five away trips, suggesting a team that struggles to string form together away from home. With Castellon averaging 2.0 goals per game at home, they carry a genuine attacking threat here.

The goal data tells an interesting story, however. Eibar have kept clean sheets in 40% of their away matches and concede just 1.1 per game on the road, making them a stubborn defensive unit. Their BTTS rate of 35% away is well below the league average of 56%, which reflects a side that tends to keep games tight rather than open. Castellon's home BTTS of 65% is above the league norm, so something has to give.

The limited head-to-head history offers little guidance beyond one draw, but on balance this looks tighter than a glance at the league positions might suggest, with Eibar capable of making this a low-scoring, competitive affair.