Castellon head into this one in strong shape, picking up four wins from their last five at home and averaging 2.0 goals scored per game on their own patch. Their BTTS rate of 63% sits notably above the league average of 56%, suggesting they tend to be involved in open, two-way contests, though they have kept things relatively tight defensively with an average of 1.2 conceded at home.

Cadiz arrive in desperate form, winless in their last five away from home with four successive defeats, and sitting in the relegation zone at 18th. Their away BTTS rate of 47% is below the league norm, which aligns with a side averaging just 0.9 goals per trip.

The table gap and contrasting momentum make this look more comfortable for the hosts than perhaps the market reflects. Cadiz's attacking output on the road gives little reason to expect them to trouble Castellon, who look well-placed to control this one.