Andorra head into this one in fine fettle, winning four of their last five at home and carrying genuine momentum heading into the final stretch of the season. Ceuta, by contrast, have been frustratingly consistent in their inconsistency on the road, picking up four draws from five away games without ever truly threatening to impose themselves. The one previous meeting went Ceuta's way, though with so little H2H data to draw from, that result carries limited weight.

The goal data adds an interesting layer. Andorra's home BTTS rate of 65% sits notably above the league average of 56%, and Ceuta have been leaking on their travels, conceding an average of 2.0 per away game while keeping just one clean sheet in five. That points toward a match with genuine goal threat at both ends. Andorra's home dominance makes them the logical favourites here, but Ceuta's stubborn away record means this looks slightly tighter than their mid-table positions might suggest.