Almeria host Valladolid on the final day of the season sitting third, with playoff or promotion implications likely still in the picture. Their home record has been one of the most open in the division this season, with BTTS landing in 80% of home games and over 2.5 goals in a remarkable 90% of them, both well above the league averages of 56% and 51% respectively. They average 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home, meaning clean sheets have been rare, but the attacking output is hard to ignore.

Valladolid arrive in poor form, winning just once in their last five, and their away numbers are considerably more modest. They score just 1.1 per game on the road and concede 1.8, though their away BTTS and over 2.5 figures are closer to mid-table than basement level.

The lone H2H meeting went Valladolid's way, but form and context point firmly toward Almeria here. This looks like a high-scoring home win, and the visitors appear to be here to make up the numbers.