Almeria sit second in La Liga 2 and will be pushing hard for automatic promotion, making this a near must-win home fixture. Their home record is exceptionally open — a BTTS rate of 78% and Over 2.5 goals in 89% of home matches dwarfs the league average of 50%, and they average 2.6 goals scored per game at home. They carry a real attacking threat but have also shown vulnerability at the back, keeping a clean sheet in just 22% of home games.

Mirandes are deep in relegation trouble in 20th and have kept a clean sheet in just 6% of away matches this season, conceding 1.7 per game on the road. That defensive fragility plays directly into Almeria's hands.

The data strongly suggests goals here, with both teams likely to contribute. The solitary H2H meeting ended level, but the gulf in current form and league position makes Almeria clear favourites — this looks like a game to attack rather than tread carefully around.