Real Madrid vs Villarreal — La Liga forecast, Saturday, 10 October 2026
La Liga·Saturday, 10 October 2026·19:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 1.31 |
| Draw | 5.96 |
| Villarreal | 7.57 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 27 Sep · 03:48 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Real Madrid
| 22 Aug | A | vs Espanyol | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Aug | H | vs Real Sociedad | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Malaga | 4–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Real Betis | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Rayo Vallecano | 4–1 | W |
Villarreal
| 16 Aug | A | vs Santander | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Atletico Madrid | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Alaves | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs La Coruna | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Sept | H | vs Real Betis | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Real Madrid (Home · 3 matches) | Villarreal (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.67 | 3.25 |
Home stats use Real Madrid's home record; away stats use Villarreal's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.