Real Madrid vs Villarreal — La Liga result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 10 October 2026
La Liga·Saturday, 10 October 2026
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Real Madrid
| 22 Aug | A | vs Espanyol | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Aug | H | vs Real Sociedad | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Malaga | 4–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Real Betis | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Rayo Vallecano | 4–1 | W |
Villarreal
| 16 Aug | A | vs Santander | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Atletico Madrid | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Alaves | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs La Coruna | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Sept | H | vs Real Betis | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Real Madrid (Home · 5 matches) | Villarreal (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 2.83 |
Home stats use Real Madrid's home record; away stats use Villarreal's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.