Osasuna vs Getafe — La Liga result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 31 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 14.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Osasuna
43%
pick · result
Draw
34%
Getafe
23%
Final score
1–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave an Osasuna win 42.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an Osasuna win. Expected goals 1.44–1.02 against 1–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (16.2%), 0–0 (11.0%), 1–0 (10.1%). It finished 1–0 — one of them.
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Osasuna
| 24 Aug | H | vs Levante | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Aug | A | vs Celta Vigo | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Getafe | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Alaves | 2–5 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Espanyol | 0–2 | L |
Getafe
| 15 Aug | A | vs Alaves | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Santander | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Osasuna | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Celta Vigo | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs La Coruna | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Osasuna (Home · 4 matches) | Getafe (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.25 | 1.67 |
Home stats use Osasuna's home record; away stats use Getafe's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.