Levante vs Real Betis — La Liga result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026

La Liga·Saturday, 29 August 2026

5 – 2

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · under an hour before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Levante

30%

result

Draw

28%

Real Betis

42%

top pick

Final score

5–2

Top pick missed

Metis gave a Levante win 29.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Real Betis win. Expected goals 1.18–1.42 against 5–2 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals48%7 scored
Both teams score54%yes
Levante clean sheet24%no
Real Betis clean sheet31%no
Levante score 2+33%yes
Real Betis score 2+42%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.3382
1X2 Brier score0.7548
Probability on the result29.6%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.4%), 0–1 (10.0%), 1–2 (9.4%). It finished 5–2.

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Recent form

Levante

16 AugAvs Espanyol0–3L
24 AugAvs Osasuna0–0D
29 AugHvs Real Betis5–2W
6 SeptAvs Malaga0–0D
13 SeptHvs Barcelona2–4L

Real Betis

21 AugHvs Real Sociedad1–0W
25 AugAvs Valencia1–0W
29 AugAvs Levante2–5L
4 SeptHvs Real Madrid1–0W
14 SeptAvs Villarreal2–1W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatLevante
(Home · 2 matches)
Real Betis
(Away · 4 matches)
BTTS rate100.0%75.0%
Over 2.5 rate100.0%50.0%
Clean sheet0.0%25.0%
Avg goals6.503.25

Home stats use Levante's home record; away stats use Real Betis's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.