🇪🇸 La Liga·Saturday, 29 August 2026·15:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Levante | 3.28 | 3.28 |
| Draw | 3.46 | 3.46 |
| Real Betis | 2.30 | 2.30 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketLevante
30%
Draw
28%
Real Betis
42%
Levante 1.18 xGexpected goals1.42 xG Real Betis
Real Betis win 42% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.4%).
Levante score at least twice in 33%; Real Betis in 42%.
1–1 13.4%0–1 10.0%1–2 9.4%0–0 8.3%0–2 7.5%1–0 7.3%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 10.0 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 13.4 | 9.4 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 5.2 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Levante goals · columns = Real Betis goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score54%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Over 4.5 goals12%
Levante clean sheet24%
Real Betis clean sheet31%
Levante score 2+33%
Real Betis score 2+42%
Levante score 3+12%
Model vs market
| Source | Levante | Draw | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 33% | 28% | 38% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Metis Forecast | 30% | 28% | 42% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Recent form
Levante
| 16 Aug | A | vs Alaves | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Barcelona | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Elche | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sept | H | vs Real Betis | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Girona | 4–0 | W |
Real Betis
| 18 Aug | A | vs Elche | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Alaves | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | A | vs Celta Vigo | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Athletic Club | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Levante | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 23 May 26 | BetisvsLevante | 2 – 1 |
| 14 Sept 25 | LevantevsBetis | 2 – 2 |
Levante: 0W 1D 1L in last 2
Model context
| Stat | Levante (Home) | Real Betis (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 52.6% | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 42.1% | 52.6% |
| Clean sheet | 26.3% | 15.8% |
| Avg goals | 2.84 | 2.84 |
Home stats use Levante's home record; away stats use Real Betis's away record this season.