Deportivo La Coruna vs Real Betis — La Liga forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Deportivo La Coruna
27%
Draw
26%
Real Betis
48%
Expected goals
1.16–1.57
Deportivo La Coruna · Real Betis
Real Betis win 48% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.2%), 1–2 (10.1%), 0–1 (10.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 55% of simulations.
Those three cover 32% of outcomes; the other 68% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Real Betis win is 1–2 (10.1%).
Deportivo La Coruna score at least twice in 32%; Real Betis in 47%.
Scoreline distribution
Real Betis goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 10.0 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 12.1 | 10.1 | 5.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.4 | 6.6 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Deportivo La Coruna goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| Market reference | 27% | 26% | 48% |
| Metis Forecast | 27% | 26% | 48% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle | Bet365 | William Hill | 1xBet | Betano | Betfair SB | BetVictor | MarathonBet | SBO | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 3.56 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 3.70 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 3.20 | 3.70 Betfair SB |
| Draw | 3.76 | 3.80 | 3.40 | 3.72 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 3.60 | 3.62 | 3.16 | 3.80 Bet365 |
| Real Betis | 2.05 | 2.00 | 2.10 | 2.14 | 2.07 | 1.95 | 2.00 | 2.08 | 2.00 | 2.14 1xBet |
Reference prices, published with the 23 Sep · 03:58 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Recent form
No recent results.
Real Betis
| 21 Aug | H | vs Real Sociedad | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | A | vs Valencia | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Levante | 2–5 | L |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Real Madrid | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Villarreal | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Deportivo La Coruna (Home · no matches) | Real Betis (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | — | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | — | 3.25 |
Home stats use Deportivo La Coruna's home record; away stats use Real Betis's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.