Barcelona vs Villarreal — La Liga forecast, Sunday, 22 November 2026
La Liga·Sunday, 22 November 2026·13:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Barcelona | 1.25 |
| Draw | 6.31 |
| Villarreal | 11.29 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 10 Nov · 04:35 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Barcelona
| 23 Aug | A | vs Elche | 5–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | H | vs Athletic Club | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Rayo Vallecano | 5–2 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Valencia | 5–0 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Levante | 4–2 | W |
Villarreal
| 16 Aug | A | vs Santander | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Atletico Madrid | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Alaves | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs La Coruna | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Sept | H | vs Real Betis | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Barcelona (Home · 6 matches) | Villarreal (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 83.3% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 5.17 | 2.83 |
Home stats use Barcelona's home record; away stats use Villarreal's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.