Volos NFC vs Iraklis — Super League Greece result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · under an hour before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Volos
44%
top pick
Draw
29%
result
Iraklis
28%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 28.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Volos win. Expected goals 1.42–1.08 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.6%), 1–0 (10.7%), 0–0 (9.3%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Volos NFC
| 23 Aug | A | vs OFI Crete | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Iraklis | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Olympiakos | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Kalamata | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs AEK | 1–2 | L |
Iraklis
| 22 Aug | A | vs AEK | 0–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Volos NFC | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Asteras Tripolis | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Atromitos | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Aris | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Volos NFC (Home · 4 matches) | Iraklis (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 25.0% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 2.17 |
Home stats use Volos NFC's home record; away stats use Iraklis's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.