AEK arrive at Toumba in fine form, having dropped points just once in their last five on the road, and currently sitting a place above PAOK in the table. The fixture has genuine title-race weight, and historically this particular H2H split - one win apiece and a draw across the last three meetings - underlines just how competitive these two sides are when they meet. The data suggests this could go either way.

What stands out most is the defensive profile of both teams. PAOK at home have been exceptional at the back all season, keeping clean sheets at a rate far above the league average while conceding less than a goal every three games. AEK away are no slouch defensively either, with a clean sheet rate well above the league norm. BTTS looks unlikely given both teams trend significantly below the league average in that regard.

This looks tighter than a classic top-of-the-table clash might suggest, with defensive solidity the dominant theme and goals likely to be hard to come by.