🇬🇷 Super League Greece·Saturday, 29 August 2026·18:30

LWDDL

18:30

11th vs —

Kalamata

Odds comparison

Market	Pinnacle	Best
Panetolikos	2.38	2.38
Draw	3.07	3.07
Kalamata	3.42	3.42

Metis Forecast

model + market

Panetolikos

41%

Draw

31%

Kalamata

28%

Panetolikos 1.30 xGexpected goals1.08 xG Kalamata

Panetolikos win 41% of the current Metis Forecast.

Both teams score in 50% of simulations.

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (14.8%).

Panetolikos score at least twice in 37%; Kalamata in 29%.

1–1 14.8%1–0 11.4%0–0 10.7%2–1 9.0%0–1 7.9%2–0 7.6%

Scoreline distribution

	0	1	2	3	4	5+
0	10.7	7.9	5.2	2.1	0.6	0.2
1	11.4	14.8	6.3	2.5	0.7	0.2
2	7.6	9.0	4.9	1.5	0.4	0.1
3	3.1	3.6	2.2	0.8	0.2	0.1
4	0.9	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0
5+	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

rows = Panetolikos goals · columns = Kalamata goals · % of simulations

Match outcomes

Both teams score50%

Over 1.5 goals70%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals22%

Over 4.5 goals9%

Panetolikos clean sheet34%

Kalamata clean sheet27%

Panetolikos score 2+37%

Kalamata score 2+29%

Panetolikos score 3+14%

Model vs market

Source	Panetolikos	Draw	Kalamata
Raw Metis model	36%	30%	34%
Market (de-vigged)	41%	31%	28%
Metis Forecast	41%	31%	28%

The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.

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Recent form

Panetolikos

23 Aug	H	vs Atromitos	0–2	L
30 Aug	A	vs Aris	2–0	W
13 Sept	H	vs Volos NFC	1–2	L
20 Sept	A	vs PAOK	0–0	D
28 Sept	H	vs Panathinaikos	1–2	L

No recent results.

Head to head

No previous meetings found.

Model context

Stat	Panetolikos (Home)	Kalamata (Away)
BTTS rate	55.6%	—
Over 2.5 rate	61.1%	—
Clean sheet	11.1%	—
Avg goals	2.83	—

Home stats use Panetolikos's home record; away stats use Kalamata's away record this season.

Panetolikos →🇬🇷 Super League Greece standings & fixtures