Kalamata vs Volos NFC — Super League Greece result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 30.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Kalamata
39%
pick · result
Draw
29%
Volos NFC
32%
Final score
3–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Kalamata win 38.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Kalamata win. Expected goals 1.36–1.22 against 3–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.1%), 1–0 (9.1%), 0–0 (8.8%). It finished 3–1.
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Kalamata
| 22 Aug | H | vs Aris | 2–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Panetolikos | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Atromitos | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Volos NFC | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Panathinaikos | 0–1 | L |
Volos NFC
| 23 Aug | A | vs OFI Crete | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Iraklis | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Olympiakos | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Kalamata | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs AEK | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Kalamata (Home · 5 matches) | Volos NFC (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.80 | 2.80 |
Home stats use Kalamata's home record; away stats use Volos NFC's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.