Iraklis 1908 FC vs Kifisia — Super League Greece forecast, Saturday, 24 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Iraklis 1908 FC
35%
Draw
30%
Kifisia
36%
Expected goals
1.24–1.18
Iraklis 1908 FC · Kifisia
Kifisia win 36% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (14.1%), 0–1 (10.7%), 0–0 (10.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Those three cover 35% of outcomes; the other 65% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Iraklis 1908 FC score at least twice in 35%; Kifisia in 33%.
Scoreline distribution
Kifisia goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.1 | 10.7 | 6.2 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.8 | 14.1 | 8.7 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Iraklis 1908 FC goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 45% | 29% | 27% |
| Market reference | 35% | 30% | 36% |
| Metis Forecast | 35% | 30% | 36% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Iraklis 1908 FC | 2.74 |
| Draw | 3.17 |
| Kifisia | 2.67 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 23 Oct · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
No recent results.
Kifisia
| 30 Aug | H | vs AEK | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sept | A | vs OFI Crete | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Sept | A | vs Panathinaikos | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Levadeiakos | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Atromitos | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Iraklis 1908 FC (Home · no matches) | Kifisia (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | — | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | — | 3.00 |
Home stats use Iraklis 1908 FC's home record; away stats use Kifisia's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.