Utrecht vs Willem II — Eredivisie forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Eredivisie·Sunday, 11 October 2026·10:15
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Utrecht | 1.49 |
| Draw | 4.67 |
| Willem II | 5.89 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 28 Sep · 04:02 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Utrecht
| 9 Aug | A | vs Groningen | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | vs AZ | 1–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Sparta Rotterdam | 3–3 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | vs PSV | 1–6 | L |
| 8 Sept | H | vs Go Ahead Eagles | 3–3 | D |
Willem II
| 8 Aug | A | vs Go Ahead Eagles | 1–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | vs NEC | 1–4 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Heerenveen | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Excelsior | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Sept | A | vs AZ | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Utrecht (Home · 3 matches) | Willem II (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 6.00 | 4.33 |
Home stats use Utrecht's home record; away stats use Willem II's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.