Two sides in poor form meet here, with neither able to string results together heading into the final weeks of the season. PEC Zwolle have taken just four points from their last five at home, while Heracles arrive on the back of four defeats in five away from home. The table context adds real edge to this one, with Heracles sitting 18th and in genuine danger of relegation.

The goals data makes for interesting reading. Heracles have conceded an average of 3.0 per away game this season and are yet to keep a clean sheet on the road, making them unusually leaky even by Eredivisie standards. Their over 2.5 rate of 80% in away fixtures dwarfs the league average, and PEC are averaging 1.3 scored at home. Goals look likely here, and with both defenses vulnerable, this shapes up as a more open affair than the modest home odds might imply. Heracles are running out of time, and desperation cuts both ways.