NEC vs Go Ahead Eagles — Eredivisie result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 6.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
NEC
46%
top pick
Draw
24%
result
Go Ahead Eagles
30%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 23.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a NEC win. Expected goals 1.88–1.52 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.2%), 2–1 (9.4%), 1–2 (6.9%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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NEC
| 8 Aug | H | vs Telstar | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Willem II | 4–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs PEC Zwolle | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Feyenoord | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Sept | H | vs Excelsior | 2–2 | D |
Go Ahead Eagles
| 8 Aug | H | vs Willem II | 4–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Feyenoord | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Den Haag | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs AZ | 2–5 | L |
| 8 Sept | A | vs Utrecht | 3–3 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | NEC (Home · 6 matches) | Go Ahead Eagles (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 83.3% | 83.3% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.50 | 4.67 |
Home stats use NEC's home record; away stats use Go Ahead Eagles's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.