NEC come into this in fine home form, though their last five results — four draws and a win — suggest they have been grinding rather than dominating. Sitting third in the Eredivisie, they carry genuine quality, and their home attacking numbers are well above the league norm. An 81% over 2.5 rate and 2.4 goals scored per home game makes NEC's ground one of the more productive in the division this season.

Go Ahead Eagles have shown some resilience recently with three draws in their last four away from home, but their away attacking output is modest at 1.2 goals per game. Their BTTS rate of 56% on the road sits just below the league average, and a clean sheet percentage of just 19% away means they tend to concede.

The limited head-to-head history produced a draw, but the data suggests NEC's home environment should generate plenty of action here. This shapes up as a match with goals, and the visitors may struggle to keep pace.