Feyenoord come into this in inconsistent form, managing just two wins in their last five after back-to-back draws, though their position in second suggests they remain one of the division's stronger sides. AZ have been more measured on the road, picking up three points from their last four away games, and their defensive numbers away from home are solid, conceding just 1.5 per game.

The goal data is the most interesting element here. Feyenoord's BTTS rate of 75% at home is well above the league average of 62%, and they average 2.4 goals scored per home game. AZ, however, have kept clean sheets in nearly a third of their away trips, and their BTTS rate on the road sits notably below the league norm. The lone head-to-head on record ended level, which adds to the sense that this could be a closer, more contained affair than Feyenoord's home record implies. This looks tighter than it might appear on paper.