Excelsior come into this bottom-half Eredivisie clash with some momentum, back-to-back wins steadying what had been a patchy run. Volendam arrive in worse shape, winning just once in their last five away from home and sitting two places below their hosts in the table. With both sides scrapping for survival points, the atmosphere and stakes should suit the home side, who hold the only H2H result between these two in their favour.

The numbers paint an interesting picture on goals. Volendam have kept just one clean sheet all season on the road, conceding nearly two per game away from home, which plays into Excelsior's hands. However, both sides sit notably below the Eredivisie average for BTTS and Over 2.5, and Volendam's attacking output away from home has been poor, averaging just 0.6 goals per game. This looks tighter and lower-scoring than the league norm would suggest, with Excelsior the more likely side to nick it.