Den Haag vs Cambuur — Eredivisie result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 10.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
ADO Den Haag
53%
top pick
Draw
23%
result
Cambuur
24%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 23.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was an ADO Den Haag win. Expected goals 1.78–1.34 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–1 (12.7%), 1–1 (10.5%), 1–0 (9.1%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Den Haag
| 8 Aug | A | vs AZ | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Groningen | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Go Ahead Eagles | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Feyenoord | 2–2 | D |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Fortuna Sittard | 2–3 | L |
Cambuur
| 7 Aug | H | vs Excelsior | 0–4 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Fortuna Sittard | 1–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Feyenoord | 2–5 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Twente | 1–4 | L |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Telstar | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Den Haag (Home · 5 matches) | Cambuur (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.00 | 3.60 |
Home stats use Den Haag's home record; away stats use Cambuur's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.