Ajax head into this fixture in inconsistent form, picking up just one win in their last three Eredivisie outings, and their league position of fourth reflects a season that has promised more than it has delivered. At home, they have been reasonably solid defensively, keeping clean sheets in over a third of matches, but their attacking output of under two goals per game sits below what you would expect from a club of their stature.

Utrecht arrive with an alternating win-loss pattern in their last five, but away from home they have been surprisingly open, conceding an average of 1.8 per game and keeping clean sheets in only around one in five away matches. Their BTTS rate on the road is notably above the league average, which points toward a game with scoring at both ends being a genuine possibility.

The only recent head-to-head meeting ended in a Utrecht victory, and with Ajax showing vulnerability at home this term, this looks tighter than many will assume. The visitors are undervalued here.