Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie forecast, Saturday, 10 October 2026
Eredivisie·Saturday, 10 October 2026·19:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Ajax | 1.32 |
| Draw | 6.05 |
| NEC | 7.47 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 27 Sep · 03:48 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Ajax
| 9 Aug | A | vs PEC Zwolle | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Heerenveen | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Telstar | 4–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs PSV | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Fortuna Sittard | 5–1 | W |
NEC
| 8 Aug | H | vs Telstar | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Willem II | 4–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs PEC Zwolle | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Feyenoord | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Sept | H | vs Excelsior | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Ajax (Home · 4 matches) | NEC (Away · 3 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 100.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.50 | 4.00 |
Home stats use Ajax's home record; away stats use NEC's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.