Zaglebie vs Wisla Plock — Ekstraklasa result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 4.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Zaglebie
39%
top pick
Draw
29%
Wisla Plock
32%
result
Final score
0–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Wisla Plock win 32.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Zaglebie win. Expected goals 1.40–1.19 against 0–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.8%), 0–1 (8.8%), 0–0 (8.8%). It finished 0–2.
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Zaglebie
| 27 Jul | H | vs Piast Gliwice | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | vs Legia | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | vs Slask Wroclaw | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Radomiak Radom | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Pogon Szczecin | 0–0 | D |
Wisla Plock
| 26 Jul | A | vs Rakow | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | H | vs Widzew Lodz | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Aug | A | vs Wisla | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs GKS Katowice | 0–5 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Korona Kielce | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Zaglebie (Home · 7 matches) | Wisla Plock (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 28.6% | 42.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 28.6% | 57.1% |
| Clean sheet | 57.1% | 14.3% |
| Avg goals | 1.71 | 2.71 |
Home stats use Zaglebie's home record; away stats use Wisla Plock's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.