🇵🇱 Ekstraklasa·Saturday, 29 August 2026·15:30
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Wisla Krakow | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Draw | 4.13 | 4.13 |
| Wieczysta Krakow | 3.76 | 3.76 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketWisla Krakow
52%
Draw
23%
Wieczysta Krakow
25%
Wisla Krakow 1.60 xGexpected goals1.09 xG Wieczysta Krakow
Wisla Krakow win 52% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11.4%).
Wisla Krakow score at least twice in 48%; Wieczysta Krakow in 30%.
1–0 11.4%1–1 11.0%2–1 10.9%2–0 9.2%0–0 6.7%0–1 6.3%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.4 | 11.0 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 9.2 | 10.9 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Wisla Krakow goals · columns = Wieczysta Krakow goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Over 4.5 goals14%
Wisla Krakow clean sheet34%
Wieczysta Krakow clean sheet20%
Wisla Krakow score 2+48%
Wieczysta Krakow score 2+30%
Wisla Krakow score 3+21%
Model vs market
| Source | Wisla Krakow | Draw | Wieczysta Krakow |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Metis Forecast | 52% | 23% | 25% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Recent form
No recent results.
Wieczysta Krakow
| 24 Jul | A | vs Radomiak Radom | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs Lech Poznan | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Piast Gliwice | 4–3 | W |
| 21 Aug | A | vs Cracovia | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Wisla Krakow (Home) | Wieczysta Krakow (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 100.0% |
| Clean sheet | — | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | — | 5.00 |
Home stats use Wisla Krakow's home record; away stats use Wieczysta Krakow's away record this season.