Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice — Ekstraklasa result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 14 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Radomiak Radom
40%
top pick
Draw
27%
Piast Gliwice
33%
result
Final score
0–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Piast Gliwice win 33.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Radomiak Radom win. Expected goals 1.45–1.32 against 0–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.7%), 2–1 (8.9%), 1–0 (8.3%). It finished 0–2.
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Radomiak Radom
| 24 Jul | H | vs Wieczysta Krakow | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | vs GKS Katowice | 1–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Gornik Zabrze | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | vs Legia | 0–5 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Zaglebie | 0–0 | D |
Piast Gliwice
| 27 Jul | A | vs Zaglebie | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs Wisla | 4–3 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Lech Poznan | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | vs Wieczysta Krakow | 3–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Legia | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Radomiak Radom (Home · 7 matches) | Piast Gliwice (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 71.4% | 33.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 71.4% | 33.3% |
| Clean sheet | 14.3% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 2.50 |
Home stats use Radomiak Radom's home record; away stats use Piast Gliwice's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.