Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce — Ekstraklasa forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Ekstraklasa·Sunday, 11 October 2026·15:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Pogon Szczecin | 2.28 |
| Draw | 3.11 |
| Korona Kielce | 3.39 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 30 Sep · 03:48 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Pogon Szczecin
| 24 Jul | H | vs Legia | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Aug | A | vs Cracovia | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Motor Lublin | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Wisla | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Zaglebie | 0–0 | D |
Korona Kielce
| 25 Jul | A | vs Jagiellonia | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Legia | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Widzew Lodz | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Motor Lublin | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Wisla Plock | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Pogon Szczecin (Home · 5 matches) | Korona Kielce (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.60 | 2.25 |
Home stats use Pogon Szczecin's home record; away stats use Korona Kielce's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.