Motor Lublin vs Wisla Plock — Ekstraklasa forecast, Friday, 6 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Independent model — no market priceModel updated
Motor Lublin
49%
Draw
26%
Wisla Plock
25%
Expected goals
1.67–1.15
Motor Lublin · Wisla Plock
Motor Lublin win 49% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.3%), 2–1 (9.6%), 1–0 (9.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Motor Lublin win is 2–1 (9.6%).
Motor Lublin score at least twice in 50%; Wisla Plock in 32%.
Scoreline distribution
Wisla Plock goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 12.3 | 6.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 9.6 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Motor Lublin goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Draw | 3.79 |
| Wisla Plock | 3.45 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 01 Nov · 04:37 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Motor Lublin
| 26 Jul | A | vs Widzew Lodz | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Jul | H | vs Jagiellonia | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | vs Pogon Szczecin | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs GKS Katowice | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Korona Kielce | 1–1 | D |
Wisla Plock
| 26 Jul | A | vs Rakow | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | H | vs Widzew Lodz | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Aug | A | vs Wisla | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs GKS Katowice | 0–5 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Korona Kielce | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Motor Lublin (Home · 7 matches) | Wisla Plock (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 57.1% | 57.1% |
| Clean sheet | 28.6% | 14.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.86 | 2.71 |
Home stats use Motor Lublin's home record; away stats use Wisla Plock's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.