🇵🇱 Ekstraklasa·Saturday, 29 August 2026·12:45
Metis Forecast
model onlyMotor Lublin
41%
Draw
28%
Piast Gliwice
30%
Motor Lublin 1.40 xGexpected goals1.17 xG Piast Gliwice
Motor Lublin win 41% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.5%).
Motor Lublin score at least twice in 41%; Piast Gliwice in 33%.
1–1 13.5%1–0 9.7%2–1 8.8%0–0 8.6%0–1 7.9%2–0 7.5%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6 | 7.9 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.7 | 13.5 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Motor Lublin goals · columns = Piast Gliwice goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Over 4.5 goals12%
Motor Lublin clean sheet31%
Piast Gliwice clean sheet25%
Motor Lublin score 2+41%
Piast Gliwice score 2+33%
Motor Lublin score 3+17%
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Motor Lublin
| 26 Jul | A | vs Widzew Lodz | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Jul | H | vs Jagiellonia | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | vs Pogon Szczecin | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs GKS Katowice | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Korona Kielce | 1–1 | D |
Piast Gliwice
| 27 Jul | A | vs Zaglebie | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs Wisla | 4–3 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Lech Poznan | 0–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | vs Wieczysta Krakow | 3–4 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Legia | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Motor Lublin (Home) | Piast Gliwice (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 2.50 |
Home stats use Motor Lublin's home record; away stats use Piast Gliwice's away record this season.