Viborg vs Lyngby — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 4 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 7.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Viborg
55%
top pick
Draw
23%
Lyngby
22%
result
Final score
0–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Lyngby win 22.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Viborg win. Expected goals 1.92–1.07 against 0–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.9%), 2–0 (9.1%), 2–1 (8.7%). It finished 0–2.
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Viborg
| 24 Jul | H | vs Odense | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | vs Brondby | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Aug | A | vs Sonderjyske | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | vs AGF | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | vs FC Copenhagen | 4–0 | W |
Lyngby
| 26 Jul | A | vs FC Copenhagen | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs AGF | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Randers | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Midtjylland | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Horsens | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Viborg (Home · 5 matches) | Lyngby (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Viborg's home record; away stats use Lyngby's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.