Viborg head into this one in poor shape, managing just one win from their last five and sitting sixth in the table. Their home record this season has been notably open, with BTTS landing in 79% of their home games and over 2.5 goals in 71% — both well above the league averages of 62% and 61% respectively. They are conceding regularly and have kept a clean sheet in just 14% of home fixtures, which spells trouble against a Nordsjaelland side arriving in confident form.

FC Nordsjaelland have lost just once in their last five and sit third, and their recent H2H record backs their credentials here — two wins from the last three meetings against Viborg. Their away BTTS figure of 54% is below the league norm, suggesting they can control games when needed.

Form, head-to-head history, and table position all point the same way. The visitors look undervalued, and goals at the Viborg end seem likely.