Silkeborg vs Lyngby — Danish Superliga forecast, Friday, 6 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Silkeborg
40%
Draw
24%
Lyngby
36%
Expected goals
1.58–1.40
Silkeborg · Lyngby
Silkeborg win 40% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.2%), 1–2 (9.1%), 2–1 (8.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 60% of simulations.
Those three cover 28% of outcomes; the other 72% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Silkeborg score at least twice in 46%; Lyngby in 42%.
Scoreline distribution
Lyngby goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 7.2 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 11.2 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 8.0 | 5.6 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Silkeborg goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 47% | 26% | 28% |
| Market reference | 40% | 24% | 36% |
| Metis Forecast | 40% | 24% | 36% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Silkeborg | 2.40 |
| Draw | 3.92 |
| Lyngby | 2.66 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 02 Nov · 05:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Silkeborg
| 27 Jul | A | vs Randers | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | vs FC Copenhagen | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | vs Odense | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs FC Nordsjaelland | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Brondby | 1–3 | L |
Lyngby
| 26 Jul | A | vs FC Copenhagen | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs AGF | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Randers | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Midtjylland | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Horsens | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 18 Sept 26 | LyngbyvsSilkeborg | 0 – 4 |
Silkeborg: 1W 0D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Silkeborg (Home · 6 matches) | Lyngby (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 83.3% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 2.83 | 4.00 |
Home stats use Silkeborg's home record; away stats use Lyngby's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.