🇩🇰 Danish Superliga·Sunday, 30 August 2026·14:00

Randers

DLWLL

14:00

9th vs 10th

AGF

DDLD

Odds comparison

Market	Pinnacle	Best
Randers	3.36	3.36
Draw	3.82	3.82
AGF	2.08	2.08

Metis Forecast

model + market

Randers

28%

Draw

25%

AGF

47%

Randers 1.34 xGexpected goals1.60 xG AGF

AGF win 47% of the current Metis Forecast.

Both teams score in 60% of simulations.

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11.7%).

Randers score at least twice in 38%; AGF in 49%.

1–1 11.7%1–2 11.4%0–1 9.2%0–2 7.1%2–1 6.0%0–0 5.9%

Scoreline distribution

	0	1	2	3	4	5+
0	5.9	9.2	7.1	3.2	1.1	0.4
1	5.0	11.7	11.4	5.1	1.7	0.6
2	4.5	6.0	5.8	4.1	1.4	0.5
3	2.4	3.2	2.2	1.4	0.7	0.2
4	1.0	1.3	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.1
5+	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0

rows = Randers goals · columns = AGF goals · % of simulations

Match outcomes

Both teams score60%

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Over 4.5 goals18%

Randers clean sheet19%

AGF clean sheet27%

Randers score 2+38%

AGF score 2+49%

Randers score 3+16%

Model vs market

Source	Randers	Draw	AGF
Raw Metis model	43%	26%	31%
Market (de-vigged)	28%	25%	47%
Metis Forecast	28%	25%	47%

The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.

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Recent form

Randers

27 Jul	H	vs Silkeborg	1–1	D
2 Aug	A	vs FC Nordsjaelland	0–1	L
9 Aug	H	vs Lyngby	2–0	W
16 Aug	H	vs FC Copenhagen	0–4	L
23 Aug	A	vs Midtjylland	0–1	L

AGF

25 Jul	H	vs Brondby	1–1	D
1 Aug	A	vs Lyngby	2–2	D
14 Aug	A	vs Viborg	1–2	L
23 Aug	H	vs Odense	2–2	D

Head to head

No previous meetings found.

Model context

Stat	Randers (Home)	AGF (Away)
BTTS rate	33.3%	100.0%
Over 2.5 rate	33.3%	100.0%
Clean sheet	33.3%	0.0%
Avg goals	2.67	3.50

Home stats use Randers's home record; away stats use AGF's away record this season.

Randers →AGF →🇩🇰 Danish Superliga standings & fixtures