Lyngby vs Sonderjyske — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 27.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Lyngby
59%
top pick
Draw
22%
result
Sonderjyske
19%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 22.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Lyngby win. Expected goals 1.82–1.04 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–1 (12.2%), 1–0 (11.5%), 1–1 (10.5%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Lyngby
| 26 Jul | A | vs FC Copenhagen | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs AGF | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Randers | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Midtjylland | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Horsens | 1–2 | L |
Sonderjyske
| 26 Jul | H | vs Midtjylland | 2–3 | L |
| 3 Aug | A | vs Odense | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Aug | H | vs Viborg | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | A | vs Brondby | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs FC Nordsjaelland | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Lyngby (Home · 7 matches) | Sonderjyske (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 85.7% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 57.1% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.29 | 3.50 |
Home stats use Lyngby's home record; away stats use Sonderjyske's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.