Lyngby vs Silkeborg — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 18 September 2026

Danish Superliga·Friday, 18 September 2026

0 – 4

Metis pre-match forecast

Independent model — no market price

Frozen as published · 13.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Lyngby

47%

top pick

Draw

26%

Silkeborg

28%

result

Final score

0–4

Top pick missed

Metis gave a Silkeborg win 27.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Lyngby win. Expected goals 1.69–1.26 against 0–4 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals57%4 scored
Both teams score59%no
Lyngby clean sheet28%no
Silkeborg clean sheet18%yes
Lyngby score 2+50%no
Silkeborg score 2+36%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.3700
1X2 Brier score0.8059
Probability on the result27.7%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.0%), 2–1 (9.4%), 1–0 (7.9%). It finished 0–4.

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Lyngby

26 JulAvs FC Copenhagen2–3L
1 AugHvs AGF2–2D
9 AugAvs Randers0–2L
16 AugHvs Midtjylland1–1D
23 AugAvs Horsens1–2L

Silkeborg

27 JulAvs Randers1–1D
2 AugHvs FC Copenhagen1–3L
10 AugHvs Odense1–0W
16 AugAvs FC Nordsjaelland0–1L
24 AugAvs Brondby1–3L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.

Model context

StatLyngby
(Home · 7 matches)
Silkeborg
(Away · 7 matches)
BTTS rate85.7%57.1%
Over 2.5 rate57.1%71.4%
Clean sheet0.0%14.3%
Avg goals3.293.43

Home stats use Lyngby's home record; away stats use Silkeborg's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.