Lyngby vs Randers — Danish Superliga forecast, Friday, 30 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Lyngby
44%
Draw
25%
Randers
31%
Expected goals
1.54–1.23
Lyngby · Randers
Lyngby win 44% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.7%), 2–1 (9.3%), 1–0 (9.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 55% of simulations.
Those three cover 30% of outcomes; the other 70% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Lyngby win is 2–1 (9.3%).
Lyngby score at least twice in 45%; Randers in 35%.
Scoreline distribution
Randers goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7 | 7.3 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 11.7 | 7.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 9.3 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Lyngby goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market reference | 44% | 25% | 31% |
| Metis Forecast | 44% | 25% | 31% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Lyngby | 2.16 |
| Draw | 3.82 |
| Randers | 3.07 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Lyngby
| 26 Jul | A | vs FC Copenhagen | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs AGF | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Randers | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Midtjylland | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Horsens | 1–2 | L |
Randers
| 27 Jul | H | vs Silkeborg | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | A | vs FC Nordsjaelland | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Lyngby | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs FC Copenhagen | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Midtjylland | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 9 Aug 26 | Randers FCvsLyngby | 2 – 0 |
Lyngby: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Lyngby (Home · 6 matches) | Randers (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 83.3% | 20.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.33 | 2.20 |
Home stats use Lyngby's home record; away stats use Randers's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.