Lyngby vs Odense — Danish Superliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 4.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Lyngby
45%
top pick
Draw
25%
result
Odense
30%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 25.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Lyngby win. Expected goals 1.55–1.23 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.9%), 2–1 (9.8%), 1–0 (9.3%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Lyngby
| 26 Jul | A | vs FC Copenhagen | 2–3 | L |
| 1 Aug | H | vs AGF | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Randers | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Midtjylland | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Horsens | 1–2 | L |
Odense
| 24 Jul | A | vs Viborg | 0–1 | L |
| 3 Aug | H | vs Sonderjyske | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | A | vs Silkeborg | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Horsens | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs AGF | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Lyngby (Home · 5 matches) | Odense (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.80 | 2.20 |
Home stats use Lyngby's home record; away stats use Odense's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.