Wolves vs West Brom — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026

Championship·Sunday, 20 September 2026·11:00

1 – 0

WolvesExpected goalsWest Brom
1.74 xG1.01 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 2.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Wolves

53%

pick · result

Draw

25%

West Brom

22%

Final score

1–0

Top pick landed

Metis gave a Wolves win 52.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Wolves win. Expected goals 1.74–1.01 against 1–0 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals52%1 scored
Both teams score53%no
Wolves clean sheet37%yes
West Brom clean sheet18%no
Wolves score 2+51%no
West Brom score 2+27%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1352
1X2 Brier score0.3347
Probability on the result52.8%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.1%), 1–0 (9.8%), 2–0 (9.6%). It finished 1–0 — one of them.

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Recent form

Wolves

20 SeptHvs West Brom1–0W
13 SeptAvs Sheffield Utd1–0W

West Brom

20 SeptAvs Wolves0–1L
12 SeptHvs QPR1–1D
9 SeptAvs Derby1–0W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.