Wolverhampton vs Cardiff City — Championship forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Wolverhampton
59%
Draw
21%
Cardiff City
19%
Expected goals
1.75–1.02
Wolverhampton · Cardiff City
Wolverhampton win 59% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–1 (12.8%), 1–0 (12.7%), 2–0 (10.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Those three cover 36% of outcomes; the other 64% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Wolverhampton score at least twice in 54%; Cardiff City in 27%.
Scoreline distribution
Cardiff City goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.7 | 10.2 | 4.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 10.3 | 12.8 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Wolverhampton goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market reference | 59% | 21% | 19% |
| Metis Forecast | 59% | 21% | 19% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.