West Ham vs Wrexham — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 11 September 2026

Championship·Friday, 11 September 2026·19:00

6 – 0

West HamExpected goalsWrexham
1.83 xG0.93 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 15.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

West Ham

62%

pick · result

Draw

21%

Wrexham

16%

Final score

6–0

Top pick landed

Metis gave a West Ham win 62.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a West Ham win. Expected goals 1.83–0.93 against 6–0 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals53%6 scored
Both teams score52%no
West Ham clean sheet39%yes
Wrexham clean sheet14%no
West Ham score 2+56%yes
Wrexham score 2+24%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.0845
1X2 Brier score0.2150
Probability on the result62.3%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (12.9%), 2–1 (12.4%), 2–0 (11.2%). It finished 6–0.

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West Ham

19 SeptAvs Millwall2–2D
11 SeptHvs Wrexham6–0W

Wrexham

19 SeptHvs Southampton2–1W
11 SeptAvs West Ham0–6L

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.