West Bromwich Albion vs Southampton — Championship forecast, Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
West Bromwich Albion
39%
Draw
26%
Southampton
35%
Expected goals
1.39–1.39
West Bromwich Albion · Southampton
West Bromwich Albion win 39% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.3%), 2–1 (9.9%), 1–0 (9.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
West Bromwich Albion score at least twice in 41%; Southampton in 40%.
Scoreline distribution
Southampton goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 9.1 | 12.3 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 6.3 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: West Bromwich Albion goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 28% | 27% | 45% |
| Market reference | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Metis Forecast | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Recent form
No recent results.
Southampton
| 19 Sept | A | vs Wrexham | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Bristol City | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.