West Brom vs QPR — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026

Championship·Saturday, 12 September 2026·11:30

1 – 1

QPR
West BromExpected goalsQPR
1.47 xG1.10 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 3.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

West Brom

43%

top pick

Draw

28%

result

QPR

28%

Final score

1–1

Top pick missed

Metis gave the draw 28.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a West Brom win. Expected goals 1.47–1.10 against 1–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals47%2 scored
Both teams score52%yes
West Brom clean sheet33%no
QPR clean sheet24%no
West Brom score 2+43%no
QPR score 2+30%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1334
1X2 Brier score0.7784
Probability on the result28.5%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.6%), 1–0 (9.5%), 0–0 (8.8%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.

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Recent form

West Brom

20 SeptAvs Wolves0–1L
12 SeptHvs QPR1–1D
9 SeptAvs Derby1–0W

QPR

19 SeptHvs Preston2–2D
12 SeptAvs West Brom1–1D
9 SeptAvs Charlton0–0D

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.