West Brom vs Millwall — Championship forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
West Brom
47%
Draw
26%
Millwall
27%
Expected goals
1.61–1.19
West Brom · Millwall
West Brom win 47% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.4%), 2–1 (9.6%), 1–0 (9.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 57% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely West Brom win is 2–1 (9.6%).
West Brom score at least twice in 48%; Millwall in 33%.
Scoreline distribution
Millwall goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.1 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 9.6 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: West Brom goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 45% | 27% | 28% |
| Market reference | 47% | 26% | 27% |
| Metis Forecast | 47% | 26% | 27% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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West Brom
| 20 Sept | A | vs Wolves | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs QPR | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sept | A | vs Derby | 1–0 | W |
Millwall
| 19 Sept | H | vs West Ham | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sept | A | vs Middlesbrough | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Blackburn | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.