Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 7.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Stoke City
40%
pick · result
Draw
28%
Sheffield Utd
32%
Final score
2–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Stoke City win 40.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Stoke City win. Expected goals 1.39–1.23 against 2–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.2%), 1–0 (9.3%), 2–1 (8.9%). It finished 2–1 — one of them.
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Stoke City
| 19 Sept | H | vs Sheffield Utd | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Watford | 2–1 | W |
Sheffield Utd
| 19 Sept | A | vs Stoke City | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Wolves | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.