Sheffield Utd vs Wolves — Championship result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026

Championship·Sunday, 13 September 2026·11:00

Sheffield Utd

0 – 1

Sheffield UtdExpected goalsWolves
1.27 xG1.54 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Market-anchored distribution

Frozen as published · 26.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Sheffield Utd

27%

Draw

27%

Wolves

47%

pick · result

Final score

0–1

Top pick landed

Metis gave a Wolves win 46.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Wolves win. Expected goals 1.27–1.54 against 0–1 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals53%1 scored
Both teams score58%no
Sheffield Utd clean sheet20%no
Wolves clean sheet29%yes
Sheffield Utd score 2+35%no
Wolves score 2+47%no

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1762
1X2 Brier score0.4229
Probability on the result46.9%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.6%), 1–2 (11.7%), 0–1 (10.4%). It finished 0–1 — one of them.

Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.

Recent form

Sheffield Utd

19 SeptAvs Stoke City1–2L
13 SeptHvs Wolves0–1L

Wolves

20 SeptHvs West Brom1–0W
13 SeptAvs Sheffield Utd1–0W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.