Sheffield United vs Wrexham — Championship forecast, Friday, 30 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Sheffield United
38%
Draw
28%
Wrexham
34%
Expected goals
1.36–1.26
Sheffield United · Wrexham
Sheffield United win 38% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.4%), 1–0 (8.7%), 0–1 (8.5%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Sheffield United score at least twice in 39%; Wrexham in 36%.
Scoreline distribution
Wrexham goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 8.5 | 5.8 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.7 | 13.4 | 8.1 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 8.2 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Sheffield United goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Market reference | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Metis Forecast | 38% | 28% | 34% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Recent form
No recent results.
Wrexham
| 19 Sept | H | vs Southampton | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sept | A | vs West Ham | 0–6 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.